Statistical median years from this stage, adjusted for age, sex, and health
Likely range3.1 to 8.4 years
Typical stage durationAbout 2 years
Approximate year of concern2,032
Range low (years)3.1
Range high (years)8.4
6.3 years
Diagnosis
Late stage (~2.5 y)
Median (women)
Median (men)
Age-65 median (8.3 y)
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Current stage: Moderate cognitive decline (mild dementia). Estimated median survival: 6.3 years.
The median survival estimate is 6.3 years from this stage, with a likely range of 3.1 to 8.4 years.
Age at diagnosis is one of the strongest predictors: people diagnosed at 75 have a longer-than-average expected course compared with this model's reference age of 78.
Among women, published cohort studies report a median survival of approximately 5.1 years from the point of diagnosis (all stages combined).
Next stepThese figures are statistical ranges, not individual predictions. A geriatrician or palliative care specialist can provide a personalized prognosis and care plan.