Lung Cancer Risk Calculator for Smokers

Your details

Sex assigned at birth, used in the epidemiological risk model.
Must be between 21 and 86 to apply the validated model.
years
kg
cm
This model applies specifically to current and former smokers.
Total number of years you smoked regularly.
years
Average number of cigarettes smoked per day while smoking.
cigs/day
Average hours per day spent in smoke-filled rooms (passive exposure).
hrs/day
A daily cough occurring during certain periods of the year is an independent risk factor.
Having a parent, sibling, or child with lung cancer increases risk by roughly 50%.
Asbestos and radon gas are the two leading non-smoking causes of lung cancer.
6-year riskModerate risk
0.64%

Probability of developing lung cancer within 6 years

16-year risk0.58%
Pack-years15
BMI26.1kg/m2
USPSTF screening eligibilityNot eligible by 2021 USPSTF criteria
0.64% probability
Low<0.64%Moderate0.64%-2%Elevated2%-5%High5%+

Your estimated 6-year lung cancer risk is 0.64% (moderate).

  • Your smoking history totals 15.0 pack-years. The higher this number, the greater the cumulative risk.
  • Quitting smoking is the single most effective step to reduce lung cancer risk, regardless of how long you have smoked.

Next stepSpeak with your doctor about your lung health, especially if you have respiratory symptoms such as a persistent cough, unexplained weight loss, or coughing up blood.

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