Metastatic Prostate Cancer Prognosis Calculator

Your details

Patient age at the time of mCRPC diagnosis.
years
Baseline prostate-specific antigen level at start of treatment. Higher PSA is associated with worse prognosis.
ng/mL
Anemia is a strong prognostic factor. Normal range is approximately 130-170 g/L for men.
g/L
Serum albumin reflects nutritional status and systemic inflammation. Normal range is 35-50 g/L.
g/L
Lactate dehydrogenase. Elevated LDH (above the laboratory upper limit of normal) is associated with significantly worse prognosis.
Elevated alkaline phosphatase often indicates bone metastatic burden and is a negative prognostic factor.
NLR is a systemic inflammation marker. A ratio below 2.5 is associated with better outcomes in mCRPC.
Gleason grade group correlates with prostate-cancer-specific mortality. Higher scores indicate more aggressive disease.
A shorter time to castration-resistant disease is associated with more aggressive biology and worse prognosis.
Bone scan metastatic burden: fewer than 10 bone lesions is a favorable factor in the PREVAIL model.
Visceral metastases, especially liver involvement, are strongly associated with worse overall survival in mCRPC.
Pain score at baseline. Low pain (0-1) is a favorable prognostic indicator in the PREVAIL model.
Post-chemotherapy mCRPC generally has a worse prognosis than chemo-naive disease.
Risk TierLow Risk
Low risk

Low (0-4), Intermediate (5-7), or High (8-11) risk group

PREVAIL Risk Score0
5-Year Overall Survival0%
Median Survival48months
1-Year Survival1%
2-Year Survival1%
0 pts
Low risk<4Intermediate4-7High risk7+
1-Year Survival1%
2-Year Survival1%
5-Year Survival0%

Low risk mCRPC (score 0/11): estimated 5-year survival 42%.

  • The model estimates a 5-year overall survival probability of approximately 42%.
  • Estimated median overall survival is about 48 months.
  • These estimates are population-level averages from clinical trial data and do not account for individual variation or future treatment advances.

Next stepLow-risk mCRPC: discuss enzalutamide or abiraterone with your oncologist, as these agents showed the greatest relative benefit in this risk tier.

= Powered by OnlyCalculators