White Christmas Calculator

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Choose the city closest to your location. Probabilities are historical averages, not a forecast.
The official meteorological definition uses 1 inch. Choose a higher threshold to see chances of a deeply snowy Christmas.
White Christmas probabilityVery likely
73%

Historical chance of meeting the selected snow depth on December 25

Chance at 1 inch1%
Chance at 5 inches0%
Chance at 10 inches0%
Expected white Christmases per 30 years21.9
73% %
Very unlikely<10%Unlikely10%-40%Possible40%-70%Very likely70%+

Minneapolis, MN: 73% historical White Christmas probability

  • Historically, Minneapolis, MN has a 73% chance of at least 1 inch of snow on the ground on December 25.
  • That translates to roughly 21.9 white Christmases in every 30-year period.
  • There is a 73% chance of at least 1 inch and a 30% chance of at least 5 inches of snow cover.

Next stepThis city has strong odds for a white Christmas. Check the National Weather Service 7-day forecast closer to December 25 for an actual prediction.

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